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Updating the Numbers
Coach Fisher DeBerry
Coach Fisher DeBerry
AFAFalcons Staff Writer
Posted Nov 7, 2003

UPDATING THE NUMBERS. Fisher DeBerry's record after 242 games, through the Utah game of 2003, as head coach at Air Force stands at 155-86-1(.642) overall; 73-55-1(.569) on the road or at neutral sites and 82-31(.725) in home games.

FISHER'S IMPACT. Entering the Army game AFA's all-time record stands at 293-241-13(.547) in 547 games. Fisher's tenure as head coach spans 44% of the total number of games the Falcons have played in their history, yet has produced 53% of the academy's victories. Another mark of Fisher's success is that his teams have registered only 35% of the academy's all-time losses while having played 44% of the total number of games in AFA's football history. DeBerry has already won 17 more games than all other head football coaches in AFA's history combined.

       DEE-FENSE, DEE-FENSE?  From November 18, 1999, through this season's Utah game, Air Force has played forty-five games against division 1-A opponents. In
29 (64.4%) of those games Air Force has allowed 24 or more points to the opposition. In those 29 games when allowing 24 or more points AFA has gone 12-17(.413). In the sixteen games in which the defense has allowed fewer than twenty-four points AFA has gone 14-2(.875). When AFA limits the opposition to fewer than 24 points it wins. When AFA allows twenty-four points or more its chances to win decrease rapidly and the figures support this assessment.

       In these forty-five games against division 1-A opponents Air Force has compiled a
26-19(.577) record. The last time AFA allowed a team to score at least twenty-four points and still posted a victory was September 20, 2003, at home, against Wyoming when AFA beat the Cowboys, 35-29. 

       On October 19, 2002, Notre Dame became the first team to defeat AFA when scoring fewer than 24 points since Utah beat the Falcons, 21-15, in the Snow Bowl on October 16, 1999. The only other game Air Force has lost since November 18, 1999, when allowing fewer than twenty-four points is the 2002 San Francisco Bowl to Virginia Tech by a, 20-13, score.

       A CHANCE TO ADVANCE. Here is a look at the leading rushers in AFA history through the Utah game of the 2003 season. While playing the CSU Rams, harridge became the sixth player in AFA football annals to surpass the 2,000 yard mark in career rushing. With his eighty-three yards against Utah he climbed past the 2,100 yard mark. Chance will play the final home game of his career next wekend against Army and stands 145 yards in back of the tandem of Pat Evans and Brian Bream for fourth place on the all-time AFA rushing list.



         1. 3612     Dee Dowis
         2. 3379     Beau Morgan
         3. 2726     John Kershner
         4. 2284     Brian Bream
         4. 2284     Pat Evans
        
6. 2139     Chance Harridge <==
         7. 1993     Greg Johnson
         8. 1860     Marty Louthan

        
9. 1762     Jason Jones
       10. 1760     Rodney Lewis
       11. 1702     Rob Perez
       12. 1677     Bart Weiss
       13. 1633     Terry Issacson
       14. 1630     Ken Wood
       15. 1551     Shelby Ball
       16. 1534     Mike Thiessen
       17. 1478     Jake Campbell
       18. 1470     Leotis Palmer
       19. 1406     Qualario Brown
       20. 1400     Scotty McKay
       21. 1371     Mike Quinlan
       22. 1354     Spanky Gilliam
       23. 1347     Larry Thomson
       24. 1296     Nakia Addison
       25. 1242     Keith Boyea
       26. 1233     Johnny Smith
       27. 1129     Blane Morgan
       28. 1091     Curtis Martin
      
29. 1088    Anthony Butler <==
       30. 1074     Bill Berry
       31. 1005     Joel Carlson

       Anthony Butler continues his climb up the chart of career rushing leaders at the academy. He added 59 yards against Utah to pass Bill Berry and now stands in twenty-ninth place, a mere three yards away from reaching Curtis Martin. In his career Butler has carried the ball 198 times for 1,088 yards, 10 TDs and a 5.49 yards per carry average.


       The player most likely to become the next to reach the 1,000 yard threshold is Darnell Stephens. After chipping in with 8 carries for 20 yards in the Utah game, the junior now totals 170 carries for 950 yards and a 5.58 yards per carry average in his career. Stephens needs to gain 50 yards this season to become the 32nd AFA player to rush for 1,000 yards in his career. He would join Butler in having cracked the 1,000 watershed for his career. Stephens was injured early in the CSU game and missed nearly three quarters of the contest and still showed the lingering effects of that injury when playing against Utah.

       AFA AGAINST THE POINTS. From 2001 to the present here's look at how the Falcons have fared against the point spread. Bear in mind that Las Vegas does not set a line for a game matching a division 1-A team against a division 1-AA team. In 2001, Air Force went 3-8 against the spread. In 2002, AFA went 9-4 against the point spread. The Falcons are 3-5 against the spread this year. The Falcons were 3 1/2 point favorites against Utah and did not cover the spread.

       TAKING THE OFFENSIVE. Chuck Petersen has been the offensive coordinator for the Falcons from the outset of the 2000 season. Since Petersen has assumed the reins to the Air Force attack the Falcons have posted a record of 28-17(.622) in forty-five games through the team's effort versus CSU.

      
LOOKING BACKWARD AND FORWARD. Wofford is 8-1 on the year. Northwestern is 4-5; North Texas 6-3; Wyoming 4-5; BYU 4-6; Navy 6-3; UNLV 5-4; CSU is 5-4 and Utah is 7-2. The aggregate record of the teams Air Force played through the first nine games of its schedule is 49-33(.597).

       Here are the records of AFA's remaining regular season opponents in 2003:
Army 0-9; New Mexico 5-4 and San Diego State is 4-5. These teams' composite record is
9-18(.333). Thus far the combined records of teams on AFA's schedule in 2003 is 58-51(.532). Only one of the Falcons three remaining regular season opponents has a record of .500 or better.


          IS LESS MORE...or is it really less? Here's a brief comparative look at Chance Harridge's offensive production through the first nine games of the 2002 and 2003 seasons.

2002 Rushing: 178 carries for 852 yards 17 TDs and a
4.78 yards per carry average.
2003 Rushing: 136 carries for 729 yards 12 TDs and a
5.36 yards per carry average.

2002 Passing: 45 for 96 and 636 yards/ 3 ints/ 6 TDs and a
46.8% completion mark.
2003 Passing: 57 for 116 and 744 yards/ 5 ints/ 6 TDs and a
49.1% completion mark.

2002 Total offense: 1,488 yards and 23 TDs with a team record of
6-3.
2003 Total offense: 1,473 yards and 17 TDs with a team record of
6-3.

       In 2002 Harridge ran 234 times for 1,159 yards in the regular season and carried the ball, on average, 19.5 times a game. In 2003, Harridge is averaging 15.1 carries a game through the team's first nine contests and is on a pace to register 181 rushing attempts in the regular season, or about four and a half fewer carries per game.


       ANOTHER MOUNTAIN TO CLIMB. It might be too much of a challenge for him to move into the top rungs of this list, but have a look at where Chance Harridge stands in relation to the all time total offense leaders at AFA.

1. 6,627--Beau Morgan 1994-96
2. 6,482--Dee Dowis 1986-1989
3. 5,511--Dave Ziebart 1976-1979
4. 4,997--Marty Louthan 1980-1983
5. 4,740--Rich Haynie 1971-1973

       Entering the Army game on November 8th, Harridge has amassed
2,139 yards rushing and 1,924 yards passing for a total offensive output of 4,063 yards. He would need to account for 677 yards over the course of the remainder of his career to tie Rich Haynie for fifth place on the total offense chart in AFA football history. Assuming a best case scenario--that Harridge remains healthy and that AFA earns a bowl bid--he'd need to average 169.25 yards a contest over the next fiour games to move into a fifth place tie with Haynie.

       OUTPACING THE OPPOSITION. Since the start of the 2001 season and before facing Army this coming weekend, the Air Force Falcons have played thirty-four games. AFA has compiled a
20-14 (.588) in those games. Here's a game by game look at the yards gained and allowed by the Falcons in this time and a look at how this perfomance correlates to AFA's record over the time span.

2001

AFA  249      Oklahoma  398    Loss  44-3
AFA  379      Tenn Tech  268    Win  42-0
AFA  427      S.D. State  403    Win  45-21
AFA  371      Navy          412    Win  24-18
AFA  524      Wyoming    516    Win  24-13
AFA  502      BYU           611    Loss 63-33
AFA  278      New Mex.   620    Loss  52-33
AFA  282      Army          486    Win  34-24
AFA  481      CSU           300    Loss  28-21
AFA  336      UNLV         353    Loss  34-10
AFA  603      Hawaii        572    Loss  52-30
AFA  274      Utah           543    Win  38-37

2002

AFA  523      N'western    221    Win  52-3
AFA  360      New Mex.   362     Win  38-31 (OT)
AFA  317      California    335     Win  23-21
AFA  287      Utah          290      Win  30-26
AFA  536      Navy          347      Win  48-7
AFA  463      BYU          304      Win  52-9
AFA  161      N. Dame    447      Loss 21-14
AFA  424      Wyoming   484      Loss 34-26
AFA  250      CSU          341      Loss 31-12
AFA  531      Army         330      Win  49-30
AFA  468      UNLV        469      Win  49-32
AFA  538      S.D.State  398      Loss 38-34
AFA  318      Va. Tech   278      Loss 20-13 (S.F. Bowl)

2003

AFA  469      Wofford    175       Win  49-0
AFA  409      N'western 452       Win  22-21
AFA  427      N. Texas  260       Win  34-21
AFA  510      Wyoming 486       Win  35-29
AFA  328      BYU        306       Win  24-10
AFA  362      Navy        326       Loss  28-25
AFA  324      UNLV      250        Win  24-7
AFA  430      CSU        564       Loss  30-20
AFA  362      Utah        459       Loss  45-43 (3OT)

       In their past thirty-four games the Falcons have outgained their opponents 17 times and posted a
12-5 (.705) record in doing so. In the remaining 17 games the Falcons have been outgained and posted a record of 8-9 (.470). It has been a crapshoot for AFA when being outgained since the start of the 2001 season. On the other hand it's clear that the Falcons' ability to pile up yardage has led to an increased likelihood of victory.

       IN A RUSH. Coaches speak at length about the importance of establishing the rushing game as a means by which to secure victories. Here's a look from the start of the 2001 season to the present at how AFA and its opponents have done when one or the other has produced at least one back who's rushed for 100 or more yards in a game.

OPPONENTS

Date
                Site            Player           Production       Result
1.Sept. 1, 2001      AFA         Quentin Griffin         26-201-1TD       Okla. 44-3
2.Sept. 29, 2001   @SDS       Larry Ned               24-178-2TDs     
AFA 45-21
3.Oct. 6, 2001      @Navy       Brian Madden         27-110-1TD        AFA 24-18
4.Oct.13, 2001       AFA         Nate Scott(Wyo)     22-148-0TD        AFA 24-13
5.Oct. 20, 2001     @BYU       Luke Staley           14-134-2TDs       BYU 63-33
6.Nov.3, 2001         AFA         C.J. Young(Army)   25-104-2TDs      
AFA 34-24
7.Nov. 8, 2001       @CSU       Duan Ruff        19-108-2TDs       CSU 28-21
8.Dec. 1, 2001        AFA         Dameon Hunter      28-226-2TDs      
AFA 38-37
9. Dec. 1, 2001        AFA         Adam Tate(Utah)    26-140-2TDs       SAME
10.Sept. 7, 2002     AFA         Quincy Wright(NM) 25-145-0TD         AFA 38-31(OT)
11.Sept, 28, 2002  @Utah       Brandon Warfield    30-193-3TDs       AFA 30-26 
12.Oct. 12, 2002    AFA          Ryan Grant(ND)      30-190-1TD         N.D. 21-14
13.Oct. 31, 2002    AFA          Cecil Sapp             29-132-2TDs       CSU 31-12
14.Nov. 14, 2002   @UNLV      Dominique Dorsey  11-101-0TD        
AFA 49-32
15.Sept. 6, 2003     @N'wst.   Jason Wright            22-108-1TD      
AFA 22-21
16.Oct.   4, 2003     @Navy     Kyle Eckel           33-176-1TD       Navy 28-25
17.Oct. 16, 2003     @CSU     Bradlee Van Pelt      17-125-2TDs     CSU 30-20

       In the past sixteen games in which AFA has allowed one of more back to gain 100 yards the Falcons have posted a record of 9-7(.562).

AIR FORCE

Date           Site             Player         Production          Result
1.Oct. 6, 2001  @Navy               Keith Boyea     19-118-1TD          
AFA 24-18
2.Oct. 13, 2001 AFA(Wyo)         Keith Boyea     26-196-0TD           AFA 24-13
3.Oct.20, 2001 @BYU               Anthony Butler  8-120-1TD             BYU 63-33
4.Nov. 8, 2001  @CSU               Keith Boyea     35-188-3TDs          CSU 28-21
5.Nov. 24, 2001 @Hawaii            Keith Boyea    18-132-1TD            Hawaii 52-30
6.Nov. 24, 2001 @Hawaii            Dan Shaffer     15-101-1TD            Same
7.Dec. 1, 2001   AFA(Utah)         Keith Boyea   19-110-2TDs          
AFA 38-37
8.Sept.7, 2002   AFA(NM)           Leotis Palmer  15-125-1TD          
AFA 38-31 (OT)
9.Sept.21, 2002 @Cal                Chance Harridge 25-124-3TDs      
AFA 23-21
10.Oct. 5, 2002 AFA(Navy)         Chance Harridge 19-164-4TDs      
AFA 48-7
11.Oct.12, 2002 AFA(BYU)        Chance Harridge  22-104-4TDs       AFA 52-9 
12.Oct.31, 2002 AFA(CSU)        Chance Harridge  26-115-1TD        CSU 31-12
13.Nov. 16, 2002 @UNLV           Chance Harridge 21-114-2TDs      
AFA 49-32 
14.Nov.23, 2002 AFA                 Chance Harridge 22-117-3TDs       SDS 38-34
15.Nov.23, 2002 AFA                 Steve Massie  12-123-1TD             Same
16.Sept.6, 2003 @Nwst.            Anthony Butler  12-107-1TD          
AFA 22-21
17.Sept.20, 2003 AFA(Wyo)       Chance Harridge 15-117-0TD        
AFA 35-29        
18.Oct.4, 2003   @Navy        Chance Harridge 21-129-2TDs       Navy 28-25
19.Oct. 16, 2003 @CSU             Chance Harridge 22-136-2TDs       CSU 30-20

       There are two interesting trends to note. AFA has compiled a 10-7(.588) record in the last seventeen games in which it has produced at least one, one hundred rusher. In the past seven games in which an AFA back has gained at least 100 yards, the Falcons have posted a disappointing 3-4 record. On the past two occasions on which the Falcons have had two players gain more than 100 yards rushing, Air Force has lost both contests (to Hawaii and San Diego State).

 



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